Thursday’s game at George M. Holmes Convocation Center has the Troy Trojans (8-4, 1-0 Sun Belt) taking on the Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-6, 0-1 Sun Belt) at 6:30 PM (on January 2). Our computer prediction projects a 70-67 win for Troy, who is a small favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Troy is projected to cover the point spread (2.5) against Appalachian State. The two sides are expected to exceed the 133.5 total.

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Troy vs. Appalachian State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
• Time: 6:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Boone, North Carolina
• Venue: George M. Holmes Convocation Center
• Line: Troy -2.5
• Point total: 133.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -130, Appalachian State +108

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Troy vs. Appalachian State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 70, Appalachian State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Appalachian State

• Pick ATS: Troy (-2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (133.5)

Troy is 7-3-0 against the spread, while Appalachian State’s ATS record this season is 4-6-0. Both the Trojans and the Mountaineers are 5-5-0 in terms of going over the point total in their games this season. The teams combine to score 145.4 points per game, 11.9 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans’ +108 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.0 points per game) is a result of scoring 75.4 points per game (196th in college basketball) while allowing 66.4 per contest (69th in college basketball).
• Troy wins the rebound battle by 6.9 boards on average. It records 34.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 95th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 27.8 per contest.
• Troy knocks down 6.4 three-pointers per game (307th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.8. It shoots 28.5% from deep while its opponents hit 33.3% from long range.
• The Trojans score 93.9 points per 100 possessions (238th in college basketball), while giving up 82.7 points per 100 possessions (28th in college basketball).
• Troy and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Trojans commit 15.0 per game (353rd in college basketball) and force 14.6 (39th in college basketball action).

Appalachian State Performance Insights

• The Mountaineers’ +60 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.0 points per game) is a result of putting up 70.0 points per game (303rd in college basketball) while allowing 65.0 per outing (41st in college basketball).
• Appalachian State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 3.5 boards. It pulls down 34.8 rebounds per game (89th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.3.
• Appalachian State knocks down 7.8 three-pointers per game (187th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.8. It shoots 34.2% from deep, and its opponents shoot 27.4%.
• Appalachian State loses the turnover battle by 2.3 per game, committing 12.1 (237th in college basketball) while its opponents average 9.8.

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